Valuation models
price $675.48 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused159.43 – 347.66227.28197% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y206.35 – 422.08285.51137% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y388.24 – 441.06413.9363% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y406.87 – 511.92456.8348% overvaluedP/E · peers321.55 – 414.28335.23101% overvaluedP/E · own history294.70 – 370.59334.99102% overvaluedPEG—265.15155% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers376.44 – 445.53409.2265% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers174.96 – 182.36175.28285% overvaluedDividend discount123.85 – 269.13179.72276% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—745.009% belowCost of capital (WACC)—7.49%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen. The price is 197% above the model value: the models see only the filed business, and a company priced on businesses with no revenue line yet is better taken apart, as Tesla is.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
227.28
Deere closed at $675.48 — overvalued by 197% vs model.
159.43the model's range347.66
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a cyclical company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
175.28 – 456.83
Wall St. target
745.00 9% below
Above model, 1y
30 of 31 days
How it is valued
Valued asCyclical
Revenue declining (~-14% recent)Moderate margins (11% net margin)Highly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 2.5x)
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.