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Align Technology, Inc. — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

ALGN
NASDAQHealthcareMedical - DevicesCIK 0001097149aligntech.comAbout ALGN
Last close · Oct 16, 2026147.31−2.03 (−1.36%)
Market cap$10.5B
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
72.43
Align Technology closed at $147.31 — overvalued by 103% vs model.
58.70the model's range102.15

DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for mature & stable — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.

Other models
76.86 – 341.21
Wall St. target
182.00 19% below
Above model, 1y
8 of 20 days

Price and model value

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How it is valued

Valued asMature & Stable
Low/slowing growth (~2% recent)Moderate margins (10% net margin)Highly cyclical earnings
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Key figures

FY2025
P/E
26.1×
EV / EBITDA
12.2×
FCF yield
4.6%
Dividend yield, TTM
0.00%
Beta
1.67
Cost of capital (WACC)
11.10%
Full financials

Analyst actions

third-party, quoted
10-15Baird · “Neutral” from “Outperform”downgrade
10-15Robert W. Baird · target162.00
10-14Leerink Partners · target215.00
10-09Stifel Nicolaus · target175.00
Ratings, targets and estimates

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About Align Technology

Align Technology, Inc. is a medical technology enterprise that develops, produces, and markets its leading products: Invisalign transparent dental aligners and iTero digital intraoral scanners, along with related services. These offerings serve a wide range of dental professionals, including orthodontists, general dentists, and those specializing in restorative and cosmetic dentistry. The company's operations are divided into two main business units: "Clear Aligner" and "Scanners and Services." The Clear Aligner segment offers a variety of solutions. Its comprehensive products include the full Invisalign treatment for teenage patients, designed to address complex orthodontic needs such as mandibular advancement, patient compliance tracking, and managing tooth eruption. It also features specialized Invisalign First Phase I and Phase 2 packages for younger children, typically aged seven to ten, who have mixed dentition (a combination of primary and permanent teeth). Beyond these, the segment provides non-comprehensive aligner options like Invisalign moderate, lite, express, and Invisalign Go. Additional non-case products include retention devices, fees for Invisalign training, and sales of ancillary items such as cleaning materials and adjustment tools used by dental practitioners during treatment. The Scanners and Services segment centers around the iTero scanner, a unified hardware platform offering various software applications for both restorative and orthodontic procedures. It supplies specialized restorative software to general dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons, as well as distinct software for orthodontists to manage digital patient records, perform diagnoses, and facilitate the fabrication of printed models and retainers. This segment also provides computer-aided design and manufacturing (CAD/CAM) services, along with supplementary products like disposable covers for the scanner wand and iTero models and dies. Furthermore, it includes third-party scanners and digital scan solutions, the Invisalign Outcome Simulator (a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner), the Invisalign Progress Assessment tool, and TimeLapse technology, which enables clinicians to compare a patient's historical 3D scans against current data. Align Technology distributes its products worldwide, with a strong presence in the United States, Switzerland, and China. Founded in 1997, the company is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

CEO
Joseph Hogan
Headquarters
Tempe, AZ
Employees
20,435
IPO
2001-01-30
Full company profile

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; the formulas are in how we value a stock.