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The AES Corporation — Intrinsic Value & Fair Price

AES
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesCIK 0000874761aes.comAbout AES
Valuation grade ?S
Quant grade ?B
Last close · Oct 30, 202614.83−0.04 (−0.30%)
Model value · P/E · own history
20.75
AES closed at $14.83 — undervalued by 29% vs model.
10.26the model's range85.79

P/E · own history leads for a regulated utility. From its own five-year median P/E applied to its earnings.

Other models
11.26 – 57.02
Wall St. target
17.00 13% below
Below model, 1y
21 of 30 days

How it is valued

Valued asRegulated utility
Revenue declining (~-2% recent)Moderate margins (8% net margin)Strong dividend yieldHighly cyclical earningsHigh leverage (D/E 4.4x)Negative free cash flow
What growth the price implies: the reverse DCF

Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.