Valuation models
price $293.84 · as of Nov 2, 2026
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5yused163.72 – 237.68193.9951% overvaluedDCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y170.28 – 248.22202.1445% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 5y212.57 – 231.21221.6433% overvaluedDCF · EBITDA exit · 10y208.49 – 242.68224.7831% overvaluedP/E · peers224.45 – 242.85228.1729% overvaluedP/E · own history328.10 – 391.22356.1017% undervaluedPEG—156.8287% overvaluedEV/EBITDA · peers203.03 – 236.19218.5734% overvaluedEV/Revenue · peers203.72 – 302.45252.4816% overvaluedEarnings power value85.44 – 122.87100.87191% overvaluedDividend discount111.26 – 263.95161.6782% overvaluedWall St. consensus target—310.005% belowCost of capital (WACC)—8.56%—
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. How the headline model is chosen.
Model value · DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y
193.99
ADP closed at $293.84 — overvalued by 51% vs model.
163.72the model's range237.68
DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y leads for a mature, steady company — positive operating income and three years of positive free cash flow. From a five-year discounted cash flow.
Other models
100.87 – 356.10
Wall St. target
310.00 5% below
Above model, 1y
31 of 31 days
How it is valued
Valued asMature & stable
Low/slowing growth (~7% recent)High profitability (20% net margin)Pays dividendsModerately volatile earnings
Model estimates for research reference only, not investment advice. Every model rests on assumptions that may not match what happens; how each model works is in the manual.