Using the industry peer median P/E Multiples multiple (trailing + forward), Utz Brands, Inc. (UTZ) has a fair value of $6.10 based on 7 comparable companies in the Packaged Foods industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing P/E | Forward P/E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utz Brands, Inc.UTZ | 678 | 848.4x | 10.6x |
| Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. | 1,483 | 6.5x | 8.0x |
| Edgewell Personal Care Company | 979 | 40.1x | 7.1x |
| Seneca Foods Corporation | 964 | 23.7x | 57.2x |
| Mission Produce, Inc. | 927 | 24.7x | 19.8x |
| John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 911 | 15.5x | 16.4x |
| SunOpta Inc. | 769 | 50.0x | 42.3x |
| Udemy, Inc. | 734 | 195.7x | 10.1x |
| Industry Median | 24.7x | 16.4x | |
| (*) Profit after tax | 1 | 64 | |
| Equity Value | 20 | 1,051 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 88 | 88 | |
| Fair Price | $0 | $12 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), Utz Brands, Inc. (UTZ) has a fair value of $9.77 based on 8 comparable companies in the Packaged Foods industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utz Brands, Inc.UTZ | 678 | 9.5x | 9.7x |
| Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. | 1,483 | 6.2x | 6.2x |
| Edgewell Personal Care Company | 979 | 12.4x | 12.1x |
| Seneca Foods Corporation | 964 | 9.7x | 4.3x |
| Mission Produce, Inc. | 927 | 10.0x | 12.0x |
| John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 911 | 9.0x | 10.7x |
| SunOpta Inc. | 769 | 13.7x | 13.7x |
| Udemy, Inc. | 734 | 15.2x | 14.9x |
| Beyond Meat, Inc. | 386 | 2.6x | 2.2x |
| Industry Median | 9.9x | 11.3x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 181 | 178 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 1,786 | 2,022 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 1,047 | 1,047 | |
| Equity Value | 739 | 975 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 88 | 88 | |
| Fair Price | $8 | $11 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Utz Brands, Inc. (UTZ) has a fair value of $2.95 based on 8 comparable companies in the Packaged Foods industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utz Brands, Inc.UTZ | 678 | 1.2x | 1.2x |
| Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. | 1,483 | 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Edgewell Personal Care Company | 979 | 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Seneca Foods Corporation | 964 | 0.8x | 0.4x |
| Mission Produce, Inc. | 927 | 0.8x | 0.9x |
| John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 911 | 0.9x | 1.1x |
| SunOpta Inc. | 769 | 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Udemy, Inc. | 734 | 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Beyond Meat, Inc. | 386 | 2.5x | 2.1x |
| Industry Median | 0.9x | 1.0x | |
| (*) Revenue | 1,439 | 1,418 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 1,249 | 1,363 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 1,047 | 1,047 | |
| Equity Value | 202 | 316 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 88 | 88 | |
| Fair Price | $2 | $4 | |
Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 25.0% plus 3.3% dividend yield, the company has a fair value of $19.39 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $0.78. The current PEG ratio is 0.03.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
Growth above 25% is capped — hypergrowth may not be sustainable long-term.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 368.3% |
| Dividend Yield | +3.3% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 25.0% |
| Fair P/E | 25.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $0.78 |
| Fair Value | $19.39 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $0.01 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $0.78 | +8421.3% | 6 |
| FY2027E | $0.84 | +8.7% | 6 |
| FY2028E | $0.93 | +10.8% | 3 |
3Y Forward EPS CAGR: 368.3%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $20.6M | $0.25 | — |
| FY2022 | $-392,000 | $-0.00 | -102.0% |
| FY2023 | $-24.9M | $-0.31 | — |
| FY2024 | $16.0M | $0.19 | — |
| FY2025 | $800,000 | $0.01 | -95.2% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: -56.3%
Using the Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model with a Cost of Equity of 9.3% and projected dividend growth of 10.5%, the fair value is $5.36 per share. The DDM range is $3.79 – $8.35 based on sensitivity analysis across Cost of Equity and growth rate assumptions.
| Year | DPS | Payout Ratio | YoY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $0.25 | 2787.5% | -0.1% |
| 2024 | $0.25 | 136.0% | +11.2% |
| 2023 | $0.23 | — | +6.8% |
| 2022 | $0.21 | — | +45.9% |
| 2021 | $0.15 | 57.9% | — |
| Year | Projected DPS | Growth | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.28 | 10.5% | 0.9149 | $0.26 |
| 2027 | $0.31 | 10.5% | 0.8371 | $0.26 |
| 2028 | $0.34 | 10.5% | 0.7659 | $0.26 |
| 2029 | $0.38 | 10.5% | 0.7008 | $0.27 |
| 2030 | $0.42 | 10.5% | 0.6411 | $0.27 |
| Terminal Value | $0.43 DPS | 2.5% | $4.05 |
Fair value under different Cost of Equity (rows) and DPS Growth Rate (columns) assumptions.
| Ke \ Growth | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3% | $7 | $7 | $8 | $8 | $8 |
| 8.3% | $6 | $6 | $6 | $7 | $7 |
| 9.3% | $5 | $5 | $5 | $6 | $6 |
| 10.3% | $4 | $4 | $5 | $5 | $5 |
| 11.3% | $4 | $4 | $4 | $4 | $4 |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.