Using the industry peer median P/E Multiples multiple (trailing + forward), Tuya Inc. (TUYA) has a fair value of $3.09 based on 4 comparable companies in the Software - Infrastructure industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing P/E | Forward P/E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tuya Inc.TUYA | 1,510 | 26.0x | 19.7x |
| Digi International Inc. | 1,902 | 46.8x | 26.8x |
| A10 Networks, Inc. | 1,720 | 42.1x | 27.3x |
| Radware Ltd. | 1,199 | 61.3x | 33.2x |
| Rapid7, Inc. | 381 | 16.1x | 2.8x |
| Industry Median | 44.4x | 27.1x | |
| (*) Profit after tax | 58 | 77 | |
| Equity Value | 2,580 | 1,216 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 614 | 614 | |
| Fair Price | $4 | $2 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), Tuya Inc. (TUYA) has a fair value of $1.50 based on 5 comparable companies in the Software - Infrastructure industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tuya Inc.TUYA | 1,510 | 469.1x | 421.7x |
| Digi International Inc. | 1,902 | 24.5x | 24.9x |
| A10 Networks, Inc. | 1,720 | 27.8x | 28.1x |
| Playtika Holding Corp. | 1,214 | 23.9x | 26.0x |
| Radware Ltd. | 1,199 | 48.1x | 53.1x |
| Rapid7, Inc. | 381 | 13.5x | 13.5x |
| Industry Median | 24.5x | 26.0x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 1 | 1 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 33 | 38 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -885 | -885 | |
| Equity Value | 918 | 924 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 614 | 614 | |
| Fair Price | $1 | $2 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Tuya Inc. (TUYA) has a fair value of $2.65 based on 7 comparable companies in the Software - Infrastructure industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tuya Inc.TUYA | 1,510 | 1.9x | 1.7x |
| Digi International Inc. | 1,902 | 4.8x | 4.9x |
| A10 Networks, Inc. | 1,720 | 6.4x | 6.5x |
| Playtika Holding Corp. | 1,214 | 1.2x | 1.3x |
| Radware Ltd. | 1,199 | 3.7x | 4.1x |
| PAR Technology Corporation | 574 | 2.0x | 2.4x |
| Rapid7, Inc. | 381 | 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Alight, Inc. | 288 | 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Industry Median | 2.0x | 2.4x | |
| (*) Revenue | 323 | 359 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 636 | 847 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -885 | -885 | |
| Equity Value | 1,521 | 1,733 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 614 | 614 | |
| Fair Price | $2 | $3 | |
Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 17.5%, the company has a fair value of $2.18 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $0.13. The current PEG ratio is 1.07.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
PEG is most informative for high-growth companies — the PEG sweet spot.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 17.5% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%) | 17.5% |
| Fair P/E | 17.5x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $0.13 |
| Fair Value | $2.18 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $0.09 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $0.13 | +32.1% | 3 |
| FY2027E | $0.13 | +6.0% | 3 |
| FY2028E | $0.15 | +15.7% | 3 |
3Y Forward EPS CAGR: 17.5%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $-175.4M | $-0.36 | — |
| FY2022 | $-146.2M | $-0.26 | — |
| FY2023 | $-60.3M | $-0.11 | — |
| FY2024 | $5.0M | $0.01 | — |
| FY2025 | $58.0M | $0.09 | +1012.9% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 1012.9%
Using the Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model with a Cost of Equity of 9.0% and projected dividend growth of 10.8%, the fair value is $1.25 per share. The DDM range is $0.87 – $1.98 based on sensitivity analysis across Cost of Equity and growth rate assumptions.
| Year | DPS | Payout Ratio | YoY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | — | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $0.06 | 661.2% | — |
| 2023 | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — |
| Year | Projected DPS | Growth | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.06 | 10.8% | 0.9174 | $0.06 |
| 2027 | $0.07 | 10.8% | 0.8416 | $0.06 |
| 2028 | $0.08 | 10.8% | 0.7721 | $0.06 |
| 2029 | $0.08 | 10.8% | 0.7083 | $0.06 |
| 2030 | $0.09 | 10.8% | 0.6498 | $0.06 |
| Terminal Value | $0.10 DPS | 2.5% | $0.95 |
Fair value under different Cost of Equity (rows) and DPS Growth Rate (columns) assumptions.
| Ke \ Growth | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 | $2 |
| 8.0% | $1 | $1 | $1 | $2 | $2 |
| 9.0% | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| 10.0% | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| 11.0% | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.