SIFCO Industries, Inc.

SIF

IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseAMEX

$15.55

Market Cap: $96.65M

SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) Valuation Summary

Updated May 11, 2026 15:22

Model	Range	Fair Value	Upside
▸ Discounted Cash Flow
Revenue DCF 5Y	$0.07 – $24.67	$7.02	-54.8%
Revenue DCF 10Y	$1.21 – $19.72	$5.55	-64.3%
▸ Trading Multiples
EV/Revenue	$8.52 – $38.00	$16.87	+8.5%

Valuation History

DCF Analysis

SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) Revenue DCF (5Y)

REVENUE DCF FAIR VALUE

$5.55

Market Price

$15.55

Upside / Downside

-64.3%

Verdict

Overvalued

Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from 0.2% to a target of 10.3% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 8.4%, SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) has an intrinsic value of $5.55 per share (range: $1.21 – $19.72).

Key Assumptions

Current Operating Margin

0.2%

Target Operating Margin

10.3%

WACC

8.4%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Historical CapEx/Rev

3.1%

Target CapEx/Rev

11.1%

D&A/Revenue

7.4%

Tax Rate

21.0%

Operating margin fades linearly from the current level to the industry target over the 5-year projection. CapEx intensity fades from the historical average to a maintenance level (D&A × 1.5). Tax is only applied when operating income is positive (NOL shield).

Margin Convergence Projection

USD in millions. Mid-year discounting convention.

Year	Revenue	Growth	Op Margin	Op Income	NOPAT	D&A	CapEx	ΔNWC	FCFF	PV(FCFF)
2026	81	-3.9%	2.2%	2	1	6	(3)	1	3	3
2027	78	-3.9%	4.3%	3	3	6	(4)	-1	6	5
2028	75	-3.9%	6.3%	5	4	6	(4)	-1	6	5
2029	72	-3.9%	8.3%	6	5	5	(5)	-1	6	5
2030	69	-3.9%	10.3%	7	6	5	(5)	-1	7	5
2031	67	-2.8%	10.3%	7	5	5	(5)	-1	6	4
2032	66	-1.6%	10.3%	7	5	5	(6)	-0	5	3
2033	66	-0.5%	10.3%	7	5	5	(6)	-0	4	2
2034	67	0.7%	10.3%	7	5	5	(7)	0	3	2
2035	68	1.8%	10.3%	7	6	5	(7)	0	3	1

Enterprise Value Bridge

Sum of PV(FCFF)34

Terminal Value (Gordon Growth at 2.5%)46

PV of Terminal Value21

Enterprise Value55

(–) Net Debt22

Equity Value34

(÷) Shares Outstanding6

Fair Value per Share$5.55

Sensitivity Analysis — WACC × Target Operating Margin

WACC \ Target Op. Margin	4.3%	7.3%	10.3%	13.3%	16.3%
6.4%	$-1	$3	$9	$14	$20
7.4%	$-1	$3	$7	$11	$15
8.4%	$-1	$2	$6	$9	$13
9.4%	$-1	$2	$5	$8	$11
10.4%	$-1	$1	$4	$6	$9

Current price: $15.55. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.

Working Capital Assumption

Net Working Capital is modeled at 32.6% of revenue (historical average of receivables + inventory − payables). Changes in NWC (ΔNWC) are computed year-over-year and subtracted from free cash flow.

SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) Revenue DCF (5Y)

REVENUE DCF FAIR VALUE

$7.02

Market Price

$15.55

Upside / Downside

-54.8%

Verdict

Overvalued

Key Assumptions

Current Operating Margin

0.2%

Target Operating Margin

10.3%

WACC

8.4%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Historical CapEx/Rev

3.1%

Target CapEx/Rev

11.1%

D&A/Revenue

7.4%

Tax Rate

21.0%

Margin Convergence Projection

USD in millions. Mid-year discounting convention.

Year	Revenue	Growth	Op Margin	Op Income	NOPAT	D&A	CapEx	ΔNWC	FCFF	PV(FCFF)
2026	81	-3.9%	2.2%	2	1	6	(4)	1	2	2
2027	78	-3.9%	4.3%	3	3	6	(5)	-1	5	4
2028	75	-3.9%	6.3%	5	4	6	(6)	-1	4	4
2029	72	-3.9%	8.3%	6	5	5	(7)	-1	4	3
2030	69	-3.9%	10.3%	7	6	5	(8)	-1	4	3

Enterprise Value Bridge

Sum of PV(FCFF)16

Terminal Value (Gordon Growth at 2.5%)70

PV of Terminal Value49

Enterprise Value64

(–) Net Debt22

Equity Value43

(÷) Shares Outstanding6

Fair Value per Share$7.02

Sensitivity Analysis — WACC × Target Operating Margin

WACC \ Target Op. Margin	4.3%	7.3%	10.3%	13.3%	16.3%
6.4%	$0	$6	$12	$19	$25
7.4%	$-1	$4	$9	$14	$19
8.4%	$-1	$3	$7	$11	$15
9.4%	$-1	$2	$6	$9	$12
10.4%	$-1	$1	$4	$7	$10

Current price: $15.55. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.

Working Capital Assumption

Net Working Capital is modeled at 32.6% of revenue (historical average of receivables + inventory − payables). Changes in NWC (ΔNWC) are computed year-over-year and subtracted from free cash flow.

Trading Multiples

Fair Value

$16.87

Market Price

$15.55

Upside / Downside

+8.5%

Verdict

Undervalued

Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) has a fair value of $16.87 based on 8 comparable companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry.

EV/Revenue Valuation — Aerospace & Defense

USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.

	Mkt Cap ($M)	Trailing EV/Revenue	Forward EV/Revenue
SIFCO Industries, Inc.SIF	94	1.4x	1.7x
Sky Harbour Group CorporationSKYH	762	39.9x	39.4x
Ampco-Pittsburgh CorporationAP	248	0.9x	0.9x
CPI Aerostructures, Inc.CVU	52	1.1x	0.8x
TechPrecision CorporationTPCS	41	1.6x	—
ClearSign Technologies CorporationCLIR	25	3.0x	3.9x
Flux Power Holdings, Inc.FLUX	18	0.5x	0.7x
Xos, Inc.XOS	17	0.5x	0.4x
Hyperscale Data, Inc.GPUS	13	1.2x	3.5x
Industry Median		1.2x	0.9x
(*) Revenue		85	67
= Enterprise Value		100	148
(-) Net Debt		22	22
Equity Value		78	126
(/) Outstanding shares		6	6
Fair Price		$13	$21

Selected Fair Value (avg of trailing + forward)

$16.87

+8.5%

Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

Model

Range

Fair Value

Upside

▸ Discounted Cash Flow

Revenue DCF 5Y

$0.07 – $24.67

$7.02

-54.8%

Revenue DCF 10Y

$1.21 – $19.72

$5.55

-64.3%

▸ Trading Multiples

EV/Revenue

$8.52 – $38.00

$16.87

+8.5%

DCF Analysis

SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) Revenue DCF (5Y)

REVENUE DCF FAIR VALUE

$5.55

Market Price

$15.55

Upside / Downside

-64.3%

Verdict

Overvalued

Key Assumptions

Current Operating Margin

0.2%

Target Operating Margin

10.3%

WACC

8.4%

Terminal Growth Rate

2.5%

Historical CapEx/Rev

3.1%

Target CapEx/Rev

11.1%

D&A/Revenue

7.4%

Tax Rate

21.0%

Margin Convergence Projection

USD in millions. Mid-year discounting convention.

Year	Revenue	Growth	Op Margin	Op Income	NOPAT	D&A	CapEx	ΔNWC	FCFF	PV(FCFF)
2026	81	-3.9%	2.2%	2	1	6	(3)	1	3	3
2027	78	-3.9%	4.3%	3	3	6	(4)	-1	6	5
2028	75	-3.9%	6.3%	5	4	6	(4)	-1	6	5
2029	72	-3.9%	8.3%	6	5	5	(5)	-1	6	5
2030	69	-3.9%	10.3%	7	6	5	(5)	-1	7	5
2031	67	-2.8%	10.3%	7	5	5	(5)	-1	6	4
2032	66	-1.6%	10.3%	7	5	5	(6)	-0	5	3
2033	66	-0.5%	10.3%	7	5	5	(6)	-0	4	2
2034	67	0.7%	10.3%	7	5	5	(7)	0	3	2
2035	68	1.8%	10.3%	7	6	5	(7)	0	3	1

Enterprise Value Bridge

Sum of PV(FCFF)34

Terminal Value (Gordon Growth at 2.5%)46

PV of Terminal Value21

Enterprise Value55

(–) Net Debt22

Equity Value34

(÷) Shares Outstanding6

Fair Value per Share$5.55

Sensitivity Analysis — WACC × Target Operating Margin

WACC \ Target Op. Margin	4.3%	7.3%	10.3%	13.3%	16.3%
6.4%	$-1	$3	$9	$14	$20
7.4%	$-1	$3	$7	$11	$15
8.4%	$-1	$2	$6	$9	$13
9.4%	$-1	$2	$5	$8	$11
10.4%	$-1	$1	$4	$6	$9

Current price: $15.55. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.

Working Capital Assumption

Net Working Capital is modeled at 32.6% of revenue (historical average of receivables + inventory − payables). Changes in NWC (ΔNWC) are computed year-over-year and subtracted from free cash flow.

Trading Multiples

Fair Value

$16.87

Market Price

$15.55

Upside / Downside

+8.5%

Verdict

Undervalued

Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) has a fair value of $16.87 based on 8 comparable companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry.

EV/Revenue Valuation — Aerospace & Defense

USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.

	Mkt Cap ($M)	Trailing EV/Revenue	Forward EV/Revenue
SIFCO Industries, Inc.SIF	94	1.4x	1.7x
Sky Harbour Group CorporationSKYH	762	39.9x	39.4x
Ampco-Pittsburgh CorporationAP	248	0.9x	0.9x
CPI Aerostructures, Inc.CVU	52	1.1x	0.8x
TechPrecision CorporationTPCS	41	1.6x	—
ClearSign Technologies CorporationCLIR	25	3.0x	3.9x
Flux Power Holdings, Inc.FLUX	18	0.5x	0.7x
Xos, Inc.XOS	17	0.5x	0.4x
Hyperscale Data, Inc.GPUS	13	1.2x	3.5x
Industry Median		1.2x	0.9x
(*) Revenue		85	67
= Enterprise Value		100	148
(-) Net Debt		22	22
Equity Value		78	126
(/) Outstanding shares		6	6
Fair Price		$13	$21

Selected Fair Value (avg of trailing + forward)

$16.87

+8.5%