Using the industry peer median P/E Multiples multiple (trailing + forward), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) has a fair value of $26.99 based on 9 comparable companies in the Travel Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing P/E | Forward P/E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.NCLH | 7,619 | 18.4x | 8.0x |
| Crown Holdings, Inc. | 11,687 | 16.2x | 16.3x |
| Service Corporation International | 11,500 | 21.7x | 23.5x |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 10,800 | 26.8x | 26.0x |
| Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) | 10,769 | 25.6x | 17.1x |
| GameStop Corp. | 10,348 | 30.0x | — |
| Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | 9,779 | 10.5x | 11.0x |
| Dillard's, Inc. | 8,927 | 15.7x | 17.2x |
| Gildan Activewear Inc. | 8,411 | 20.7x | 15.7x |
| Autoliv, Inc. | 7,878 | 11.0x | 10.0x |
| Industry Median | 20.7x | 16.7x | |
| (*) Profit after tax | 423 | 958 | |
| Equity Value | 8,780 | 16,024 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 460 | 460 | |
| Fair Price | $19 | $35 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) has a fair value of $44.58 based on 9 comparable companies in the Travel Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.NCLH | 7,619 | 8.0x | 8.0x |
| Crown Holdings, Inc. | 11,687 | 8.4x | 8.8x |
| Service Corporation International | 11,500 | 12.5x | 12.9x |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 10,800 | 18.3x | 16.4x |
| Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) | 10,769 | 15.5x | 14.0x |
| GameStop Corp. | 10,348 | 27.5x | 20.3x |
| Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | 9,779 | 12.2x | 12.8x |
| Dillard's, Inc. | 8,927 | 9.9x | 9.9x |
| Gildan Activewear Inc. | 8,411 | 17.1x | 17.3x |
| Autoliv, Inc. | 7,878 | 6.5x | 6.4x |
| Industry Median | 12.5x | 12.9x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 2,739 | 2,766 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 34,166 | 35,601 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 14,396 | 14,396 | |
| Equity Value | 19,770 | 21,204 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 460 | 460 | |
| Fair Price | $43 | $46 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) has a fair value of $9.97 based on 9 comparable companies in the Travel Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.NCLH | 7,619 | 2.2x | 2.2x |
| Crown Holdings, Inc. | 11,687 | 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Service Corporation International | 11,500 | 3.8x | 3.9x |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | 10,800 | 2.1x | 1.9x |
| Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) | 10,769 | 2.7x | 2.5x |
| GameStop Corp. | 10,348 | 2.3x | 1.7x |
| Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | 9,779 | 0.6x | 0.6x |
| Dillard's, Inc. | 8,927 | 1.3x | 1.3x |
| Gildan Activewear Inc. | 8,411 | 3.5x | 3.6x |
| Autoliv, Inc. | 7,878 | 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Industry Median | 2.1x | 1.7x | |
| (*) Revenue | 9,828 | 9,926 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 20,985 | 16,967 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 14,396 | 14,396 | |
| Equity Value | 6,589 | 2,571 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 460 | 460 | |
| Fair Price | $14 | $6 | |
Using the PEG framework with analyst consensus forward EPS growth of 25.0%, the company has a fair value of $58.97 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $2.36. The current PEG ratio is 0.17.
PEG < 1 = bargain, 1–1.5 = fair, > 2 = expensive.
Growth above 25% is capped — hypergrowth may not be sustainable long-term.
| EPS Growth RateForward | 48.1% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 25.0% |
| Fair P/E | 25.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $2.36 |
| Fair Value | $58.97 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $0.90 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $2.36 | +162.1% | 15 |
| FY2027E | $2.67 | +13.3% | 15 |
| FY2028E | $3.06 | +14.4% | 10 |
| FY2029E | $4.33 | +41.5% | 5 |
4Y Forward EPS CAGR: 48.1%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $-4.5B | $-12.33 | — |
| FY2022 | $-2.3B | $-5.41 | — |
| FY2023 | $166.2M | $0.39 | — |
| FY2024 | $910.3M | $1.89 | +384.6% |
| FY2025 | $423.2M | $0.90 | -52.4% |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 166.1%
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.