Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from -3.3% to a target of 13.3% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 8.0%, ModivCare Inc. (MODV) has an intrinsic value of $393.71 per share (range: $35.91 – $1,288.97).
Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from -3.3% to a target of 13.3% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 8.0%, ModivCare Inc. (MODV) has an intrinsic value of $195.50 per share (range: $19.60 – $779.15).
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), ModivCare Inc. (MODV) has a fair value of $272.79 based on 9 comparable companies in the Medical - Care Facilities industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ModivCare Inc.MODV | 6 | 0.4x | 0.4x |
| HCA Healthcare, Inc. | 108,215 | 2.1x | 2.0x |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation | 16,723 | 1.3x | 1.3x |
| Universal Health Services, Inc. | 11,529 | 1.0x | 1.0x |
| The Ensign Group, Inc. | 11,505 | 3.0x | 3.6x |
| Solventum Corporation | 10,973 | 1.8x | 1.8x |
| Encompass Health Corporation | 10,580 | 2.2x | 2.2x |
| DaVita Inc. | 10,035 | 1.8x | 1.8x |
| Chemed Corporation | 5,451 | 2.2x | 2.3x |
| Option Care Health, Inc. | 4,402 | 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Industry Median | 1.8x | 1.8x | |
| (*) Revenue | 2,788 | 2,773 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 5,066 | 5,082 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 1,190 | 1,190 | |
| Equity Value | 3,877 | 3,892 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 14 | 14 | |
| Fair Price | $272 | $273 | |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.