Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.'s cash flows over 5 years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from 166.1% to 14.2% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 33, DPO 60, DIO 750). At a 6.9% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (119% of enterprise value) is derived by applying the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.2x to Year 6 EBITDA. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $46.97 per share, suggesting HIVE is undervalued by 1460.4% at the current price of $3.01.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 100 | 138 | 183 | 209 | 238 | 244 |
| (−) Net Interest | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 19 |
| (+) D&A | 115 | 158 | 193 | 287 | 389 | 399 |
| EBITDA | 222 | 307 | 390 | 512 | 646 | 662 |
| (−) Tax | 50 | 69 | 91 | 104 | 119 | — |
| (−) CapEx | 281 | 388 | 515 | 588 | 671 | — |
| (−) ΔWC | 126 | 119 | 140 | 81 | 93 | — |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | -235 | -270 | -356 | -261 | -238 | — |
| Peers' EBITDA Multiple | 15.2x | |||||
| Terminal Value | 10,043 | |||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.90% | |||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | -227 | -244 | -301 | -207 | -176 | 7,195 |
| Enterprise Value | 6,040 | |||||
| Projection Period | -1,155 | -19.1% | ||||
| Terminal Value | 7,195 | 119.1% | ||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 32 | |||||
| Equity Value | 6,008 | |||||
| (÷) Outstanding Shares | 128M | |||||
| Fair Price | $47 | +1460.1% | ||||
| WACC \ EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple | 11.2x | 13.2x | 15.2x | 17.2x | 19.2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9% | $36 | $44 | $52 | $60 | $68 |
| 5.9% | $34 | $42 | $49 | $57 | $65 |
| 6.9% | $32 | $40 | $47 | $54 | $62 |
| 7.9% | $30 | $38 | $45 | $52 | $59 |
| 8.9% | $29 | $36 | $42 | $49 | $56 |
Current price: $3.01. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Based on default parameters
Using an unlevered Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) model, we project HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.'s cash flows over 10 years with analyst estimates for the first 3–5 years, fading toward long-term GDP growth for the remaining years with line-by-line expense modeling. Revenue is projected revenue growing from 166.1% to 4.9% annually, with expenses (COGS, SG&A, R&D) held at historical ratios. Depreciation is computed from a vintage matrix based on a 5-year useful life. Working capital is modeled using historical turnover days (DSO 33, DPO 60, DIO 750). At a 6.9% WACC with mid-year discounting, the terminal value (119% of enterprise value) is derived by applying the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple of 15.2x to Year 11 EBITDA. After subtracting net debt, the equity value implies a fair price of $63.38 per share, suggesting HIVE is undervalued by 2005.7% at the current price of $3.01.
Adjust parameters to explore scenarios. Changes are for exploration only and do not affect saved valuations.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | Terminal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Before Tax | 100 | 138 | 183 | 209 | 238 | 268 | 296 | 322 | 343 | 360 | 369 |
| (−) Net Interest | 8 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 28 |
| (+) D&A | 115 | 158 | 193 | 287 | 389 | 489 | 583 | 672 | 751 | 826 | 847 |
| EBITDA | 222 | 307 | 390 | 512 | 646 | 777 | 902 | 1,019 | 1,120 | 1,214 | 1,244 |
| (−) Tax | 50 | 69 | 91 | 104 | 119 | 134 | 148 | 161 | 172 | 180 | — |
| (−) CapEx | 281 | 388 | 515 | 588 | 671 | 754 | 834 | 905 | 967 | 1,014 | — |
| (−) ΔWC | 126 | 119 | 140 | 81 | 93 | 92 | 88 | 80 | 68 | 52 | — |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) | -235 | -270 | -356 | -261 | -238 | -203 | -167 | -127 | -86 | -32 | — |
| Peers' EBITDA Multiple | 15.2x | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | 18,875 | ||||||||||
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.90% | ||||||||||
| Timing of FCF (mid year) | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 5 |
| Present Value of FCF | -227 | -244 | -301 | -207 | -176 | -141 | -108 | -77 | -49 | -17 | 9,687 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,139 | ||||||||||
| Projection Period | -1,547 | -19.0% | |||||||||
| Terminal Value | 9,687 | 119.0% | |||||||||
| (−) Current Net Debt | 32 | ||||||||||
| Equity Value | 8,108 | ||||||||||
| (÷) Outstanding Shares | 128M | ||||||||||
| Fair Price | $63 | +2005.3% | |||||||||
| WACC \ EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple | 11.2x | 13.2x | 15.2x | 17.2x | 19.2x |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.9% | $54 | $66 | $78 | $90 | $102 |
| 5.9% | $49 | $59 | $70 | $81 | $92 |
| 6.9% | $43 | $53 | $63 | $73 | $83 |
| 7.9% | $39 | $48 | $57 | $66 | $75 |
| 8.9% | $35 | $43 | $51 | $60 | $68 |
Current price: $3.01. Green = undervalued, Red = overvalued.
Based on default parameters
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) has a fair value of $3.33 based on 8 comparable companies in the Information Technology Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.HIVE | 385 | 14.4x | 15.4x |
| Bank First Corporation | 1,542 | 17.2x | 22.6x |
| Byline Bancorp, Inc. | 1,474 | 10.5x | 17.7x |
| QCR Holdings, Inc. | 1,474 | 14.8x | 26.3x |
| ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. | 1,373 | 21.7x | 52.3x |
| Westamerica Bancorporation | 1,275 | 5.3x | 4.6x |
| ProAssurance Corporation | 1,244 | 15.5x | 14.9x |
| Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation | 1,024 | 16.1x | 12.5x |
| FS Credit Opportunities Corp. | 1,009 | 5.8x | — |
| Industry Median | 15.2x | 17.7x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 29 | 27 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 438 | 479 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 32 | 32 | |
| Equity Value | 406 | 447 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 128 | 128 | |
| Fair Price | $3 | $3 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd. (HIVE) has a fair value of $3.95 based on 8 comparable companies in the Information Technology Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.HIVE | 385 | 3.6x | 3.9x |
| Bank First Corporation | 1,542 | 6.7x | 8.8x |
| Byline Bancorp, Inc. | 1,474 | 3.1x | 5.3x |
| QCR Holdings, Inc. | 1,474 | 3.4x | 6.0x |
| ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. | 1,373 | 4.0x | 9.7x |
| Westamerica Bancorporation | 1,275 | 3.2x | 2.8x |
| ProAssurance Corporation | 1,244 | 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation | 1,024 | 8.1x | 6.3x |
| FS Credit Opportunities Corp. | 1,009 | 4.3x | — |
| Industry Median | 3.7x | 6.0x | |
| (*) Revenue | 115 | 108 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 428 | 647 | |
| (-) Net Debt | 32 | 32 | |
| Equity Value | 396 | 616 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 128 | 128 | |
| Fair Price | $3 | $5 | |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.