Using the industry peer median P/E Multiples multiple (trailing + forward), Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) has a fair value of $1.85 based on 9 comparable companies in the Security & Protection Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing P/E | Forward P/E | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlo Technologies, Inc.ARLO | 1,641 | 106.4x | — |
| BW LPG Limited | 2,650 | 10.7x | 6.9x |
| Triton International Limited | 2,483 | 5.6x | 5.6x |
| The GEO Group, Inc. | 2,388 | 9.8x | 69.9x |
| DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 2,238 | 26.6x | 26.3x |
| V2X, Inc. | 2,201 | 28.8x | 12.1x |
| Power Solutions International, Inc. | 1,495 | 13.1x | 13.2x |
| Upwork Inc. | 1,480 | 13.7x | 7.9x |
| Napco Security Technologies, Inc. | 1,435 | 33.8x | 30.0x |
| Ameresco, Inc. | 1,269 | 28.9x | 20.2x |
| Industry Median | 13.7x | 13.2x | |
| (*) Profit after tax | 15 | ||
| Equity Value | 204 | ||
| (/) Outstanding shares | 110 | ||
| Fair Price | $2 | ||
Using the industry peer median EV/EBITDA multiple (trailing + forward), Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) has a fair value of $3.26 based on 9 comparable companies in the Security & Protection Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/EBITDA | Forward EV/EBITDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlo Technologies, Inc.ARLO | 1,641 | 76.6x | 78.5x |
| BW LPG Limited | 2,650 | 6.0x | 29.5x |
| Triton International Limited | 2,483 | 7.5x | 8.0x |
| The GEO Group, Inc. | 2,388 | 6.4x | 7.0x |
| DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 2,238 | 13.3x | 13.5x |
| V2X, Inc. | 2,201 | 10.1x | 9.5x |
| Power Solutions International, Inc. | 1,495 | 13.9x | 14.3x |
| Upwork Inc. | 1,480 | 9.6x | 8.9x |
| Napco Security Technologies, Inc. | 1,435 | 28.0x | 26.9x |
| Ameresco, Inc. | 1,269 | 13.7x | 12.6x |
| Industry Median | 10.1x | 12.6x | |
| (*) EBITDA | 20 | 19 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 197 | 242 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -140 | -140 | |
| Equity Value | 337 | 381 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 110 | 110 | |
| Fair Price | $3 | $3 | |
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) has a fair value of $10.46 based on 10 comparable companies in the Security & Protection Services industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arlo Technologies, Inc.ARLO | 1,641 | 2.8x | 2.9x |
| BW LPG Limited | 2,650 | 0.9x | 4.6x |
| Triton International Limited | 2,483 | 6.3x | 6.7x |
| The GEO Group, Inc. | 2,388 | 1.5x | 1.7x |
| DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 2,238 | 1.4x | 1.5x |
| V2X, Inc. | 2,201 | 0.7x | 0.6x |
| Power Solutions International, Inc. | 1,495 | 2.2x | 2.3x |
| Upwork Inc. | 1,480 | 2.0x | 1.9x |
| Napco Security Technologies, Inc. | 1,435 | 7.5x | 7.2x |
| Ameresco, Inc. | 1,269 | 1.6x | 1.5x |
| PureCycle Technologies, Inc. | 988 | 192.4x | 40.4x |
| Industry Median | 1.8x | 2.1x | |
| (*) Revenue | 529 | 517 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 956 | 1,070 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -140 | -140 | |
| Equity Value | 1,095 | 1,210 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 110 | 110 | |
| Fair Price | $10 | $11 | |
Using the PEG framework with historical EPS growth of 8.0%, the company has a fair value of $6.44 based on NTM EPS (FY2026) of $0.80.
| EPS Growth RateHistorical | 0.0% |
| Adjusted Growth (clamped 8–25%)Clamped | 8.0% |
| Fair P/E | 8.0x |
| NTM EPS (FY2026) | $0.80 |
| Fair Value | $6.44 |
| Period | EPS Est. | Growth | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (actual) | $0.14 | — | — |
| FY2026E | $0.80 | +474.9% | 3 |
1Y Forward EPS CAGR: 474.9%
| Year | Net Income | EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | $-56.0M | $-0.68 | — |
| FY2022 | $-56.6M | $-0.65 | — |
| FY2023 | $-22.0M | $-0.24 | — |
| FY2024 | $-30.5M | $-0.31 | — |
| FY2025 | $14.9M | $0.14 | — |
4Y Historical EPS CAGR: 0.0%
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.