Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from -7.1% to a target of 13.3% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 9.0%, Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) has an intrinsic value of $639.05 per share (range: $51.48 – $1,931.31).
Using a Revenue DCF model with operating margin convergence from -7.1% to a target of 13.3% over 5 years, discounted at a WACC of 9.0%, Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) has an intrinsic value of $282.42 per share (range: $7.80 – $907.49).
Using the industry peer median EV/Revenue multiple (trailing + forward), Agilon Health, Inc. (AGL) has a fair value of $1,246.04 based on 6 comparable companies in the Medical - Care Facilities industry.
USD in millions except Fair Price. Subject company highlighted.
| Mkt Cap ($M) | Trailing EV/Revenue | Forward EV/Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Agilon Health, Inc.AGL | 987 | 0.1x | 0.2x |
| Enhabit, Inc. | 707 | 1.1x | 1.1x |
| DBV Technologies S.A. | 518 | 24.3x | 72.2x |
| SOPHiA GENETICS S.A. | 355 | 4.5x | 3.7x |
| Simulations Plus, Inc. | 269 | 3.0x | 2.9x |
| Definitive Healthcare Corp. | 106 | 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Nakamoto Inc. | 90 | 151.8x | 123.5x |
| Industry Median | 3.8x | 3.3x | |
| (*) Revenue | 5,933 | 5,591 | |
| = Enterprise Value | 22,325 | 18,667 | |
| (-) Net Debt | -137 | -137 | |
| Equity Value | 22,462 | 18,804 | |
| (/) Outstanding shares | 17 | 17 | |
| Fair Price | $1357 | $1136 | |
Disclaimer: Sweet Value Lab provides estimated intrinsic values for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. All models rely on assumptions that may not reflect future performance. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.