--- title: Tesla (TSLA) — intrinsic value and fair price canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/tsla ticker: TSLA as_of: 2026-10-17 sector: Consumer Cyclical industry: Auto - Manufacturers --- # Tesla (TSLA) Tesla (TSLA) closed at $354.72 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 1544% vs its model value of $21.58 (from its peers' median P/E). ## Key figures | Figure | Value | | --- | ---: | | Last close | $354.72 (Oct 16, 2026) | | Model value (from its peers' median P/E) | $21.58 | | Price vs model | overvalued by 1544% vs model | | Range of that model | $18.32 – $62.13 | | Market value | $1.4T | | P/E (fiscal 2025) | 328.4 | | Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 4.0% | | Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $6.2B | | Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.00% | | Beta | 1.92 | | Cost of capital (WACC) | 11.72% | | Business classification | Profitable Growth (Revenue declining (~-1% recent), Decelerated from ~25% 5y CAGR, Thin margins (4.0% net margin), Highly cyclical earnings) | ## On the stock lists | List | Place | Figure | Page | | --- | ---: | ---: | --- | | Largest companies | #9 | $1.4T | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/largest-companies | ## Valuation models Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026. | Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $1.21 | $0.40 | $1.59 | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $8.14 | $5.98 | $13.02 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $43.36 | $27.42 | $62.14 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $8.13 | $6.38 | $30.64 | | P/E · peers | cross check | $21.58 | $18.32 | $62.13 | | P/E · own history | cross check | $198.38 | $81.92 | $296.41 | | PEG | sanity check | $42.30 | $42.30 | $42.30 | | EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $54.19 | $40.99 | $83.30 | | EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $31.91 | $31.23 | $32.41 | | Earnings power value | cross check | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ## Insider activity (SEC Form 4) Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 1 open-market sale ($938,419.2); 10b5-1 plan sales included. | Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Sep 5, 2026 | Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Officer | Option/RSU exercise | 6,539 | $0 | | Sep 8, 2026 | Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | 2,605.75 | $938,419.2 | | Sep 5, 2026 | Taneja Vaibhav | Chief Financial Officer | Option/RSU exercise | 6,539 | $0 | | Jun 16, 2026 | Musk Elon | CEO | Option/RSU exercise | 303,960,630 | $7.1B | | Jun 16, 2026 | Musk Elon | CEO | Tax withholding | 17,531,857 | $7.1B | ## Recent SEC filings | Filed | Form | What | Filing | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Oct 2, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828026064366/tsla-20261002.htm | | Sep 29, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 1.02 Termination of a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828026063820/tsla-20260929.htm | | Jul 23, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828026049270/tsla-20260630.htm | | Jul 22, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828026049213/tsla-20260722.htm | | Jul 2, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000162828026046717/tsla-20260702.htm | ## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F) | Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Duan Yongping | 2026-06-30 | 3,380,400 | $1.4B | | Viking Global | 2026-06-30 | 547,816 | $230.4M | | Soros | 2026-06-30 | 86,846 | $36.5M | | Josh Tarasoff | 2026-06-30 | 47,390 | $19.9M | 6 tracked managers in all. ## About Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division. Within its Automotive division, Tesla not only provides a range of electric cars but also generates revenue from selling automotive regulatory credits. This segment further encompasses a variety of post-sale services, including non-warranty vehicle support, sales of pre-owned vehicles, various retail products, and car insurance offerings. Customers can acquire Tesla's sedans and sport utility vehicles through direct sales, purchases of used vehicles, or via in-app upgrades oft… --- Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/tsla (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.