---
title: TKO Group Holdings (TKO) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/tko
ticker: TKO
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Communication Services
industry: Entertainment
---
# TKO Group Holdings (TKO)

TKO Group Holdings (TKO) closed at $175.50 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 31% vs its model value of $133.59 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $175.50 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $133.59 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 31% vs model |
| Range of that model | $77.66 – $404.95 |
| Market value | $12.8B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 77.7 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 4.1% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | — |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 1.79% |
| Beta | 0.69 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.55% |
| Business classification | Mature & Stable (High revenue growth (~68% recent), Thin margins (4.1% net margin), Pays dividends, Highly cyclical earnings) |

## On the stock lists

| List | Place | Figure | Page |
| --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| Highest free cash flow yield | #5 | 21.7% | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/highest-free-cash-flow-yield |
| Near 52-week lows | #8 | +1.8% | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/near-52-week-lows |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 1.79% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $3.14 |
| Coverage | — |
| Raised | — |
| Growth over 4 years | 59.9% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.79, ex-date Sep 15, 2026, paid Sep 30, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Jun 14, 2021 | $0.48 |
| To Jun 14, 2022 | $0.48 |
| To Jun 14, 2023 | $0.48 |
| To Sep 15, 2025 | $5.38 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Sep 15, 2026) | $3.14 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $133.59 | $77.66 | $404.95 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $153.85 | $92.25 | $448.82 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $145.53 | $104.55 | $193.73 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $163.77 | $114.43 | $229.26 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $43.43 | $30.05 | $76.68 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $190.42 | $152.82 | $24,329.89 |
| PEG | sanity check | $114.38 | $114.38 | $114.38 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $84.22 | $56.26 | $138.71 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $50.54 | $26.28 | $80.70 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $55.31 | $43.64 | $72.76 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $73.08 | $48.47 | $118.25 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 29 open-market sales ($20.7M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Khan Nick | Director | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 9,189 | $1.6M |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Khan Nick | Director | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 400 | $70,028 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Khan Nick | Director | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 1,333 | $257,442.3 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Khan Nick | Director | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 4,256 | $826,174.7 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Khan Nick | Director | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 1,421 | $277,080.8 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526330592/tko-20260630.htm |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526330561/tko-20260803.htm |
| Jun 12, 2026 | 8-K | 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Shareholder Vote | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526269552/d80456d8k.htm |
| May 12, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526219498/d105349d8k.htm |
| May 6, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1973266/000119312526208992/tko-20260331.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Lindsell Train | 2026-06-30 | 2,098,862 | $422.5M |
| Soros | 2026-06-30 | 578,157 | $116.4M |

2 tracked managers in all.

## About

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. stands as a significant enterprise within the sports and entertainment industries. Its business activities are primarily organized into four core divisions: Media and Content, Live Events, Sponsorships, and Consumer Products Licensing. The company is responsible for creating a diverse range of content, including live spectacles, television programs, and both lengthy and concise video productions. This material is disseminated to audiences in approximately 170 countries through various channels such as traditional broadcast, subscription-based television, streaming services, and numerous digital and social media platforms. Furthermore, TKO leverages its brands through the merchandising of a wide array of goods, including video games, clothing, equipment, collectible trading cards, memorabilia, digital assets, and toys. It also facilitates sales of exclusive travel…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/tko (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
