---
title: Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/swk
ticker: SWK
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Industrials
industry: Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
---
# Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) closed at $92.48 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 56% vs its model value of $59.30 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $92.48 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $59.30 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 56% vs model |
| Range of that model | $32.84 – $127.05 |
| Market value | $14.0B |
| P/E (fiscal 2026) | 34.9 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2026) | 2.7% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2026) | $687.9M |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 3.60% |
| Beta | 1.17 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 9.31% |
| Business classification | Dividend Payer (Revenue declining (~-2% recent), Thin margins (2.7% net margin), Strong dividend yield, Highly cyclical earnings) |

## On the stock lists

| List | Place | Figure | Page |
| --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| Dividend growth streaks | #20 | 40+ years | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/dividend-growth-streaks |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 3.60% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $3.33 |
| Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2026) | 72.8% |
| Raised | 40+ years in a row |
| Growth over 5 years | 2.9% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.84, ex-date Sep 8, 2026, paid Sep 22, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Sep 3, 2021 | $2.89 |
| To Sep 2, 2022 | $3.17 |
| To Sep 1, 2023 | $3.21 |
| To Sep 3, 2024 | $3.25 |
| To Sep 2, 2025 | $3.29 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Sep 8, 2026) | $3.33 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $59.30 | $32.84 | $127.05 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $62.01 | $36.61 | $125.69 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $59.93 | $27.76 | $97.92 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $62.22 | $33.01 | $101.38 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $65.14 | $43.28 | $67.53 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $93.37 | $51.13 | $141.06 |
| PEG | sanity check | $140.21 | $140.21 | $140.21 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $50.63 | $30.17 | $101.55 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $129.61 | $78.43 | $275.91 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $38.30 | $27.88 | $52.72 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $59.85 | $42.90 | $90.87 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 1 open-market sale ($105,164.2); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Laschinger Mary A | Director | Grant / award | 24.213 | $2,208 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mitchell Adrian V | Director | Grant / award | 113.872 | $10,384 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mitchell Adrian V | Director | Grant / award | 342.691 | $31,250 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Mitchell Adrian V | Director | Grant / award | 64.619 | $5,892.6 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hankin Michael David | Director | Grant / award | 138.392 | $12,620 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 8-K | 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/93556/000119312526383511/d493257d8k.htm |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/93556/000009355626000031/swk-20260704.htm |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/93556/000009355626000028/swk-20260729.htm |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 1.02 Termination of a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/93556/000119312526281077/d49687d8k.htm |
| Apr 29, 2026 | S-8 | Employee stock plan registration | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/93556/000119312526192176/d46828ds8.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Arnold Van Den Berg | 2026-06-30 | 96,652 | $9.1M |
| Robert Olstein | 2026-03-31 | 55,000 | $3.9M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 4,111 | $386,927 |

3 tracked managers in all.

## About

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global enterprise primarily engaged in two core business segments: Tools & Storage and Industrial operations. Its geographical footprint extends across the United States, Canada, the wider Americas region, France, the rest of Europe, and Asia. The Tools & Storage segment provides a comprehensive array of products catering to both professional and consumer markets. For professionals, offerings include high-grade corded and cordless electric power tools, essential equipment, pneumatic tools, and fastening solutions. Consumers can access corded and cordless electric power tools, notably under the BLACK+DECKER brand, alongside lawn and garden equipment, related accessories, various home products, hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage units. This division distributes its merchandise through a diverse network comprising retailers, distributors,…

---

Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/swk (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.