---
title: Sherwin-Williams (SHW) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/shw
ticker: SHW
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Basic Materials
industry: Chemicals - Specialty
---
# Sherwin-Williams (SHW)

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) closed at $335.20 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 76% vs its model value of $190.19 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $335.20 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $190.19 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 76% vs model |
| Range of that model | $111.21 – $448.59 |
| Market value | $81.4B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 32.6 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 10.9% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $2.7B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.95% |
| Beta | 1.08 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.62% |
| Business classification | Mature & Stable (Low/slowing growth (~1% recent), Moderate margins (11% net margin), Highly cyclical earnings, High leverage (D/E 3.2x)) |

## On the stock lists

| List | Place | Figure | Page |
| --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| Dividend growth streaks | #21 | 40+ years | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/dividend-growth-streaks |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 0.95% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $3.19 |
| Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | 29.8% |
| Raised | 40+ years in a row |
| Growth over 5 years | 8.8% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.80, ex-date Aug 21, 2026, paid Sep 11, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Aug 19, 2021 | $2.10 |
| To Aug 18, 2022 | $2.35 |
| To Aug 17, 2023 | $2.42 |
| To Aug 16, 2024 | $2.75 |
| To Aug 15, 2025 | $3.09 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Aug 21, 2026) | $3.19 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $190.19 | $111.21 | $448.59 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $201.58 | $123.33 | $452.95 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $177.99 | $98.75 | $271.63 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $191.37 | $113.96 | $295.45 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $169.83 | $162.12 | $186.29 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $376.68 | $356.50 | $404.25 |
| PEG | sanity check | $165.16 | $165.16 | $165.16 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $128.75 | $128.54 | $152.97 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $103.56 | $95.82 | $119.34 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $59.33 | $42.00 | $83.96 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $72.09 | $50.28 | $114.80 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 2 open-market sales ($7.7M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Williams Thomas | Director | Grant / award | 104.12 | $33,749.5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | THAMAN MICHAEL H | Director | Grant / award | 104.12 | $33,749.5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Gamgort Robert James | Director | Grant / award | 104.12 | $33,749.5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | ANDERSON KERRII B | Director | Grant / award | 30.85 | $9,999.7 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Binns Justin T | President, Glob. Architectural | Option/RSU exercise | 13,500 | $0 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 1.02 Termination of a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/89800/000119312526405960/d147868d8k.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/89800/000008980026000049/shw-20260630.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/89800/000008980026000046/shw-20260728.htm |
| Jun 9, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/89800/000119312526263161/d147641d8k.htm |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/89800/000008980026000038/shw-20260331.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Viking Global | 2026-06-30 | 3,875,879 | $1.3B |
| Lee Ainslie | 2026-06-30 | 575,013 | $198.0M |
| Jensen | 2026-06-30 | 539,035 | $185.6M |
| Mairs & Power | 2026-06-30 | 440,586 | $151.7M |

8 tracked managers in all.

## About

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand. The Consumer Brands Group segment supplies a portfolio of branded and private-label architectural paints, stains, varnishes, industrial products, wood finishes products, wood preservatives, applicators, corrosion inhibitors, aerosols, caulks, and adhesives to retailers, including home centers and hardware stores, and…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/shw (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
