--- title: O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) — intrinsic value and fair price canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/orly ticker: ORLY as_of: 2026-10-17 sector: Consumer Cyclical industry: Specialty Retail --- # O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) closed at $89.27 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 25% vs its model value of $71.17 (from a five-year discounted cash flow). ## Key figures | Figure | Value | | --- | ---: | | Last close | $89.27 (Oct 16, 2026) | | Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $71.17 | | Price vs model | overvalued by 25% vs model | | Range of that model | $42.66 – $202.47 | | Market value | $72.2B | | P/E (fiscal 2025) | 30.1 | | Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 14.3% | | Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $1.6B | | Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.00% | | Beta | 0.54 | | Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.65% | | Business classification | Mature & Stable (Low/slowing growth (~6% recent), Moderate margins (14% net margin), High leverage (D/E 5.0x)) | ## Valuation models Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026. | Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $71.17 | $42.66 | $202.47 | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $76.28 | $47.22 | $208.14 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $78.65 | $54.53 | $107.08 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $82.75 | $56.57 | $117.73 | | P/E · peers | cross check | $89.54 | $66.02 | $113.07 | | P/E · own history | cross check | $89.44 | $82.03 | $98.53 | | PEG | sanity check | $31.09 | $31.09 | $31.09 | | EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $80.71 | $59.46 | $136.30 | | EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $25.09 | $6.06 | $61.48 | | Earnings power value | cross check | $27.62 | $21.98 | $36.01 | | Dividend discount | cross check | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ## Insider activity (SEC Form 4) Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 3 open-market sales ($550,538.5); 10b5-1 plan sales included. | Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Aug 28, 2026 | HENDRICKSON THOMAS | Director | Open-market sell | 1,000 | $87,831.1 | | Aug 12, 2026 | SASTRE MARIA | Director | Open-market sell | 2,000 | $183,707.4 | | Aug 12, 2026 | MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW | SVP OF PROF SALES & STORE OPS | Option/RSU exercise | 3,000 | $50,130 | | Aug 12, 2026 | MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW | SVP OF PROF SALES & STORE OPS | Open-market sell | 3,000 | $279,000 | | Aug 12, 2026 | MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW | SVP OF PROF SALES & STORE OPS | Option/RSU exercise | 3,000 | $0 | ## Recent SEC filings | Filed | Form | What | Filing | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Oct 1, 2026 | 8-K | 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000048/orly-20261001x8k.htm | | Aug 14, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000110465926097090/tm2622552d5_8k.htm | | Aug 11, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000110465926094110/tm2622552d4_8k.htm | | Aug 10, 2026 | 424B5 | Prospectus supplement | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000110465926093079/tm2622552-1_424b5.htm | | Aug 7, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/898173/000089817326000045/orly-20260630x10q.htm | ## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F) | Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Akre | 2026-06-30 | 2,161,818 | $199.1M | | David Rolfe | 2026-06-30 | 172,645 | $15.9M | | Terry Smith | 2026-06-30 | 162,691 | $15.0M | | Torray | 2026-06-30 | 60,821 | $5.6M | 5 tracked managers in all. ## About O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., along with its subsidiary companies, functions as a leading retail and wholesale provider of automotive aftermarket products, specialized tools, supplies, and accessories across the United States. The company's comprehensive inventory includes both new and reconditioned vehicle hard parts and essential maintenance items. This expansive selection covers critical components such as alternators, batteries, brake system parts, belts, chassis and driveline components, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control systems, and water pumps. Additionally, they supply consumables like antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, various fluids, lighting solutions, oil, and wiper blades. Their accessory range features items like floor mats, seat covers, and specific truck enhancements. Beyond just parts, O'Reilly's outlets also stock auto… --- Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/orly (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.