---
title: Oracle (ORCL) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/orcl
ticker: ORCL
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Technology
industry: Software - Infrastructure
---
# Oracle (ORCL)

Oracle (ORCL) closed at $128.22 on Oct 16, 2026, undervalued by 30% vs its model value of $183.34 (from its peers' median P/E).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $128.22 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from its peers' median P/E) | $183.34 |
| Price vs model | undervalued by 30% vs model |
| Range of that model | $163.15 – $238.35 |
| Market value | $387.7B |
| P/E (fiscal 2026) | 22.0 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2026) | 25.4% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2026) | -$23.7B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 1.56% |
| Beta | 1.77 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 9.53% |
| Business classification | High Growth (Moderate growth (~13% recent), High profitability (25% net margin), Pays dividends, Highly cyclical earnings, High leverage (D/E 3.0x), Negative free cash flow) |

## On the stock lists

| List | Place | Figure | Page |
| --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| Largest companies | #28 | $387.7B | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/largest-companies |
| Worst performing this year | #23 | −34.2% | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/worst-performing-this-year |
| Insider buying | #9 | $3.5M | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/insider-buying |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 1.56% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $2.00 |
| Coverage | — |
| Raised | 11 years in a row |
| Growth over 5 years | 10.8% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.50, ex-date Oct 9, 2026, paid Oct 23, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Oct 8, 2021 | $1.20 |
| To Oct 11, 2022 | $1.28 |
| To Oct 11, 2023 | $1.52 |
| To Oct 10, 2024 | $1.60 |
| To Oct 9, 2025 | $1.90 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Oct 9, 2026) | $2.00 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $145.41 | $82.20 | $358.90 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $310.77 | $182.67 | $744.36 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $643.12 | $466.67 | $850.01 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $891.55 | $602.97 | $1,274.54 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $183.34 | $163.15 | $238.35 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $216.02 | $181.00 | $243.82 |
| PEG | sanity check | $203.43 | $203.43 | $203.43 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $184.71 | $172.67 | $349.62 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $153.12 | $113.53 | $252.55 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $11.15 | $5.04 | $19.53 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 1 open-market buy ($3.5M) and 2 open-market sales ($3.8M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Sep 29, 2026 | RUSCKOWSKI STEPHEN H | Director | Open-market buy | 25,000 | $3.5M |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Smith Maria | EVP, Chief  Accounting Officer | Option/RSU exercise | 11,934 | $0 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Smith Maria | EVP, Chief  Accounting Officer | Option/RSU exercise | 5,506 | $0 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Smith Maria | EVP, Chief  Accounting Officer | Option/RSU exercise | 11,934 | $0 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Smith Maria | EVP, Chief  Accounting Officer | Open-market sell | 2,631 | $399,122.7 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sep 25, 2026 | DEFA14A | Additional proxy materials | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312526402831/orcl-defa14a-2026_notice.htm |
| Sep 25, 2026 | DEF 14A | Proxy statement | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312526402816/orcl-20260925.htm |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312526389753/d20034d8k.htm |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312526389274/orcl-20260831.htm |
| Sep 10, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1341439/000119312526387905/orcl-20260910.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| First Eagle | 2026-06-30 | 8,516,878 | $1.2B |
| Polen Capital | 2026-06-30 | 3,574,259 | $523.8M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 1,432,967 | $210.0M |
| Bill Nygren | 2026-06-30 | 650,879 | $95.4M |

15 tracked managers in all.

## About

Oracle Corporation, a global technology giant, provides a comprehensive suite of enterprise information technology solutions worldwide. A core part of its portfolio comprises cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications, including the Oracle Fusion Cloud suite covering enterprise resource planning (ERP), enterprise performance management (EPM), supply chain and manufacturing management (SCM), and human capital management (HCM). This also extends to specialized offerings like Oracle Advertising, the NetSuite application suite, and Oracle Fusion solutions for Sales, Service, and Marketing. Beyond these, Oracle develops cloud solutions tailored for various specific industries, alongside traditional application licenses and comprehensive license support services. Furthermore, the company's robust cloud and licensing business is underpinned by its infrastructure technologies. These i…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/orcl (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
