---
title: NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/nxpi
ticker: NXPI
as_of: 2026-10-18
sector: Technology
industry: Semiconductors
---
# NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) closed at $229.33 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 40% vs its model value of $164.27 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $229.33 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $164.27 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 40% vs model |
| Range of that model | $113.38 – $279.55 |
| Market value | $57.8B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 28.8 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 16.5% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $2.4B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 1.77% |
| Beta | 1.81 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 10.19% |
| Business classification | Cyclical (Revenue declining (~-4% recent), Moderate margins (16% net margin), Pays dividends, Highly cyclical earnings) |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 1.77% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $4.06 |
| Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | 42.3% |
| Raised | — |
| Growth over 5 years | 14.5% a year |
| Latest payment | $1.014, ex-date Sep 16, 2026, paid Oct 8, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Sep 14, 2021 | $2.06 |
| To Sep 14, 2022 | $3.10 |
| To Sep 12, 2023 | $3.89 |
| To Sep 12, 2024 | $4.06 |
| To Sep 17, 2025 | $4.06 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Sep 16, 2026) | $4.06 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 18, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $164.27 | $113.38 | $279.55 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $187.27 | $132.89 | $308.18 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $666.12 | $549.45 | $801.07 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $588.37 | $451.68 | $763.97 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $487.23 | $289.70 | $709.46 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $264.30 | $236.33 | $305.45 |
| PEG | sanity check | $372.38 | $372.38 | $372.38 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $586.82 | $335.90 | $872.90 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $343.14 | $199.87 | $780.13 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $48.57 | $37.82 | $63.03 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $76.37 | $57.10 | $99.74 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 2 open-market sales ($1.0M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Jensen Christopher L | EVP, Chief People Officer | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 3,355 | $805,200 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Micallef Andrew | EVP, Chief Operations Officer | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 1,000 | $226,040 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hoffmann Michael Thomas | EVP & General Counsel | Grant / award | 2,075 | $0 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Micallef Andrew | EVP, Chief Operations Officer | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 1,000 | $315,570 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Foxx Anthony R | Director | Option/RSU exercise | 1,035 | $0 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1413447/000141344726000051/nxpi-20260901.htm |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1413447/000141344726000047/nxpi-20260828.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1413447/000141344726000045/nxpi-20260628.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1413447/000141344726000044/nxpi-20260728.htm |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 8-K | 5.07 Submission of Matters to a Shareholder Vote; 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1413447/000141344726000039/nxpi-20260610.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| First Pacific Advisors | 2026-06-30 | 688,107 | $193.4M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 337,405 | $94.8M |
| Harry Burn | 2026-06-30 | 286,699 | $80.6M |
| Christopher Bloomstran | 2026-06-30 | 7,662 | $2.2M |

4 tracked managers in all.

## About

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers. The company also develops semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including components for pressure, motion (inertial), magnetic fields, and gyroscopic measurements. These solutions find critica…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/nxpi (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.