---
title: NVIDIA (NVDA) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/nvda
ticker: NVDA
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Technology
industry: Semiconductors
---
# NVIDIA (NVDA)

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $214.13 on Oct 16, 2026, undervalued by 3% vs its model value of $220.53 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $214.13 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $220.53 |
| Price vs model | undervalued by 3% vs model |
| Range of that model | $165.46 – $334.34 |
| Market value | $5.2T |
| P/E (fiscal 2026) | 43.7 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2026) | 55.6% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2026) | $96.7B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.24% |
| Beta | 2.22 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 12.59% |
| Business classification | High Growth (High revenue growth (~88% recent), High profitability (56% net margin), Highly cyclical earnings) |

## On the stock lists

| List | Place | Figure | Page |
| --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| Largest companies | #1 | $5.2T | https://sweetvaluelab.com/lists/largest-companies |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 0.24% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $0.52 |
| Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2026) | 1.0% |
| Raised | 2 years in a row |
| Growth over 5 years | 100.6% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.25, ex-date Sep 10, 2026, paid Oct 1, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Aug 31, 2021 | $0.02 |
| To Sep 7, 2022 | $0.02 |
| To Sep 6, 2023 | $0.02 |
| To Sep 12, 2024 | $0.03 |
| To Sep 11, 2025 | $0.04 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Sep 10, 2026) | $0.52 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $220.53 | $165.46 | $334.34 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $252.66 | $192.48 | $374.63 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $219.14 | $141.55 | $310.39 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $251.52 | $174.95 | $353.36 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $554.66 | $299.57 | $809.74 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $447.08 | $314.74 | $905.30 |
| PEG | sanity check | $231.95 | $231.95 | $231.95 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $296.19 | $104.53 | $356.00 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $241.25 | $99.76 | $372.67 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $20.78 | $18.57 | $23.60 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 25 open-market sales ($967.6M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Parker Nicholas P. | EVP, Worldwide Field Ops | Grant / award | 160,418 | $0 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | COXE TENCH | Director | Bona fide gift (10b5-1 plan) | 500,000 | $0 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 4,499 | $1.0M |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 13,478 | $3.0M |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Teter Timothy S. | EVP, General Counsel and Sec | Open-market sell (10b5-1 plan) | 12,483 | $2.8M |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581026000078/nvda-20260902.htm |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581026000075/nvda-20260726.htm |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581026000073/nvda-20260826.htm |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581026000069/nvda-20260817.htm |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 8-K | 5.02 Departure/Election of Directors or Officers | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1045810/000104581026000060/nvda-20260628.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Chase Coleman | 2026-06-30 | 11,198,773 | $2.2B |
| Duan Yongping | 2026-06-30 | 6,280,675 | $1.3B |
| Mairs & Power | 2026-06-30 | 4,707,792 | $942.0M |
| Polen Capital | 2026-06-30 | 3,978,446 | $796.0M |

20 tracked managers in all.

## About

NVIDIA Corporation stands as a prominent provider of advanced graphics, computational, and networking solutions, operating across the United States, Taiwan, China, and numerous international markets. Its Graphics division encompasses GeForce GPUs, central to PC gaming and personal computing experiences, along with the GeForce NOW cloud gaming service and its supporting infrastructure, as well as dedicated solutions for various gaming platforms. For professional visualization, it provides Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstations, further offering vGPU software designed for cloud-centric visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for in-vehicle infotainment, and the Omniverse software suite, facilitating 3D design and virtual world creation. The Compute & Networking segment is a cornerstone for AI, high-performance computing (HPC), and accelerated data center platform…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/nvda (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.