---
title: Incyte (INCY) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/incy
ticker: INCY
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Healthcare
industry: Biotechnology
---
# Incyte (INCY)

Incyte (INCY) closed at $113.07 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 11% vs its model value of $101.52 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $113.07 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $101.52 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 11% vs model |
| Range of that model | $73.10 – $214.06 |
| Market value | $22.9B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 17.6 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 25.0% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $1.4B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.74 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.51% |
| Business classification | Profitable Growth (Moderate growth (~18% recent), High profitability (25% net margin), Highly cyclical earnings, Strong FCF yield (5.9%)) |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $101.52 | $73.10 | $214.06 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $83.44 | $64.27 | $156.95 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $118.83 | $93.45 | $148.64 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $93.07 | $74.57 | $117.47 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $127.64 | $97.01 | $188.21 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $117.23 | $87.11 | $237.08 |
| PEG | sanity check | $26.21 | $26.21 | $26.21 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $152.41 | $115.62 | $178.94 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $146.63 | $146.10 | $364.80 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $33.31 | $30.63 | $37.14 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 11 open-market sales ($10.0M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Heeson Lee | EVP, Head of Incyte Intl | Tax withholding | 463 | $54,235.8 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP, 667, L.P., Baker Bros. Advisors (GP) LLC, Baker Brothers Life Sciences LP, BAKER FELIX, BAKER JULIAN | Director, 10% Owner | Grant / award | 322 | $0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP, 667, L.P., Baker Bros. Advisors (GP) LLC, Baker Brothers Life Sciences LP, BAKER FELIX, BAKER JULIAN | Director, 10% Owner | Grant / award | 322 | $0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Clancy Paul J | Director | Grant / award | 203 | $24,634.1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | HARRIGAN EDMUND | Director | Grant / award | 206 | $24,998.1 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/879169/000087916926000058/incy-20260831.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/879169/000087916926000056/incy-20260630.htm |
| Jul 28, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/879169/000087916926000053/incy-20260728.htm |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/879169/000087916926000048/incy-20260706.htm |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 8-K | 8.01 Other Events | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/879169/000087916926000046/incy-20260622.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Dodge & Cox | 2026-06-30 | 11,957,326 | $1.4B |
| Harry Burn | 2026-06-30 | 757,723 | $85.9M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 168,253 | $19.1M |

3 tracked managers in all.

## About

Incyte Corporation is a biopharmaceutical firm engaged in the research, development, and global marketing of its own innovative therapies. Its current product offerings include JAKAFI, prescribed for myelofibrosis and polycythemia vera; PEMAZYRE, a fibroblast growth factor receptor kinase inhibitor that targets oncogenic drivers in various liquid and solid tumor types; and ICLUSIG, a kinase inhibitor utilized for chronic myeloid leukemia and Philadelphia-chromosome positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Beyond its marketed drugs, Incyte's pipeline features several promising candidates. Among its clinical-stage assets are ruxolitinib, targeting steroid-refractory chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), and itacitinib, which is undergoing Phase II/III trials for newly diagnosed chronic GVHD. Pemigatinib is also being investigated for conditions such as bladder cancer, cholangiocarcinoma,…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/incy (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
