---
title: C.H. Robinson (CHRW) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/chrw
ticker: CHRW
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Industrials
industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
---
# C.H. Robinson (CHRW)

C.H. Robinson (CHRW) closed at $139.49 on Oct 16, 2026, overvalued by 57% vs its model value of $88.61 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $139.49 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $88.61 |
| Price vs model | overvalued by 57% vs model |
| Range of that model | $59.70 – $169.50 |
| Market value | $16.3B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 28.9 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 3.6% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $894.9M |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 1.81% |
| Beta | 0.95 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 8.81% |
| Business classification | Cyclical (Revenue declining (~-4% recent), Thin margins (3.6% net margin), Pays dividends, Highly cyclical earnings, Strong FCF yield (5.5%)) |

## Dividends

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Trailing dividend yield | 1.81% |
| Dividends per share, last 12 months | $2.52 |
| Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | 33.7% |
| Raised | 28+ years in a row |
| Growth over 5 years | 4.3% a year |
| Latest payment | $0.63, ex-date Sep 4, 2026, paid Oct 2, 2026 |

| Year of payments | Dividends per share |
| --- | ---: |
| To Sep 2, 2021 | $2.04 |
| To Sep 1, 2022 | $2.20 |
| To Aug 31, 2023 | $2.44 |
| To Sep 6, 2024 | $2.45 |
| To Sep 5, 2025 | $2.48 |
| Trailing twelve months (to Sep 4, 2026) | $2.52 |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $88.61 | $59.70 | $169.50 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $97.29 | $67.05 | $180.57 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $95.84 | $65.05 | $132.13 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $103.27 | $71.09 | $146.20 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $171.37 | $147.61 | $194.72 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $144.20 | $85.52 | $185.94 |
| PEG | sanity check | $84.82 | $84.82 | $84.82 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $108.48 | $82.10 | $130.58 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $193.15 | $153.63 | $275.32 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $48.60 | $40.42 | $60.14 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $44.39 | $31.22 | $69.85 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

No open-market insider buys or sales filed in the past 90 days.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Gokey Timothy C | Director | Grant / award | 208 | $30,775.7 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Goodburn Mark A. | Director | Grant / award | 246 | $36,398.2 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Lee Damon J. | Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 4,698 | $897,083.1 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Goodburn Mark A. | Director | Grant / award | 193 | $36,349.6 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Gokey Timothy C | Director | Grant / award | 163 | $30,699.4 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1043277/000119312526413203/d115124d8k.htm |
| Jul 31, 2026 | S-8 | Employee stock plan registration | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1043277/000104327726000035/chrws-82026.htm |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1043277/000104327726000031/chrw-20260630.htm |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1043277/000104327726000027/chrw-20260729.htm |
| Jul 24, 2026 | 8-K | 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1043277/000119312526315034/d149453d8k.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| First Eagle | 2026-06-30 | 3,642,453 | $686.0M |
| Mairs & Power | 2026-06-30 | 770,708 | $145.2M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 67,802 | $12.8M |

3 tracked managers in all.

## About

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. Its comprehensive range of services spans various shipping modalities. This includes brokerage for both full truckload (FTL) and less-than-truckload (LTL) freight, managing everything from single-pallet shipments to full container loads. C.H. Robinson also coordinates intermodal transport, which involves moving goods in containers or trailers through a combination of truck and rail networks, in addition to acting as a non-vessel operating common carrier (NVOCC) for ocean freight and arranging air cargo shipments. The company consistently provides end-to-end door-to-door delivery services. Beyon…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/chrw (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.