--- title: Ball (BALL) — intrinsic value and fair price canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/ball ticker: BALL as_of: 2026-10-17 sector: Consumer Cyclical industry: Packaging & Containers --- # Ball (BALL) Ball (BALL) closed at $63.20 on Oct 16, 2026, undervalued by 21% vs its model value of $80.50 (from a five-year discounted cash flow). ## Key figures | Figure | Value | | --- | ---: | | Last close | $63.20 (Oct 16, 2026) | | Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $80.50 | | Price vs model | undervalued by 21% vs model | | Range of that model | $43.38 – $255.29 | | Market value | $16.7B | | P/E (fiscal 2025) | 19.2 | | Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 6.9% | | Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $788.0M | | Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 1.27% | | Beta | 0.96 | | Cost of capital (WACC) | 7.61% | | Business classification | Mature & Stable (Revenue declining (~-3% recent), Moderate margins (7% net margin), Pays dividends, Highly cyclical earnings) | ## Dividends | Figure | Value | | --- | ---: | | Trailing dividend yield | 1.27% | | Dividends per share, last 12 months | $0.80 | | Dividends / free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | 27.9% | | Raised | — | | Growth over 5 years | 4.2% a year | | Latest payment | $0.20, ex-date Sep 1, 2026, paid Sep 15, 2026 | | Year of payments | Dividends per share | | --- | ---: | | To Aug 31, 2021 | $0.65 | | To Aug 31, 2022 | $0.80 | | To Aug 31, 2023 | $0.80 | | To Sep 3, 2024 | $0.80 | | To Sep 2, 2025 | $0.80 | | Trailing twelve months (to Sep 1, 2026) | $0.80 | ## Valuation models Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026. | Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $80.50 | $43.38 | $255.29 | | DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $88.99 | $50.43 | $267.77 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $77.16 | $39.99 | $121.22 | | DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $82.90 | $46.18 | $132.75 | | P/E · peers | cross check | $57.98 | $46.98 | $67.71 | | P/E · own history | cross check | $85.36 | $64.77 | $101.34 | | PEG | sanity check | $65.90 | $65.90 | $65.90 | | EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $60.65 | $55.26 | $75.72 | | EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $51.27 | $39.58 | $75.72 | | Earnings power value | cross check | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | | Dividend discount | cross check | $17.27 | $11.90 | $28.17 | ## Insider activity (SEC Form 4) Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 3 open-market sales ($914,139.3); 10b5-1 plan sales included. | Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Oct 15, 2026 | Buck Sherry | Director | Grant / award | 1,745 | $0 | | Oct 15, 2026 | Nicosia Darlene | Director | Grant / award | 1,745 | $0 | | Oct 13, 2026 | Lim-Johnson Hannah S. | SVP, CLO & CORP SEC | Tax withholding | 1,873 | $111,555.9 | | Oct 13, 2026 | Lim-Johnson Hannah S. | SVP, CLO & CORP SEC | Option/RSU exercise | 6,477 | — | | Oct 13, 2026 | Lim-Johnson Hannah S. | SVP, CLO & CORP SEC | Option/RSU exercise | 6,477 | — | ## Recent SEC filings | Filed | Form | What | Filing | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Sep 9, 2026 | 8-K | 5.02 Departure/Election of Directors or Officers; 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/9389/000110465926106140/tm2625007d1_8k.htm | | Aug 4, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/9389/000110465926090226/ball-20260630x10q.htm | | Aug 4, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/9389/000110465926090074/ball-20260804x8k.htm | | May 5, 2026 | 10-Q | Quarterly report | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/9389/000110465926055460/ball-20260331x10q.htm | | May 5, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/9389/000000938926000107/ball-20260505x8k.htm | ## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F) | Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value | | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | | Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 30,004 | $1.9M | 1 tracked managers in all. ## About Ball Corporation serves as a global provider of aluminum packaging solutions for a broad spectrum of industries, including beverages, personal care items, and household goods. Its extensive reach covers the United States, Brazil, and numerous international markets. The company's operations are strategically divided into four primary business segments: Beverage Packaging for North and Central America; Beverage Packaging for Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; Beverage Packaging for South America; and its dedicated Aerospace division. Within its packaging enterprise, Ball is a key manufacturer and supplier of aluminum beverage containers, catering to producers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other liquid products. Its product line also encompasses extruded aluminum aerosol containers, innovative reclosable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Beyond pac… --- Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/ball (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.