---
title: AutoZone (AZO) — intrinsic value and fair price
canonical: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/azo
ticker: AZO
as_of: 2026-10-17
sector: Consumer Cyclical
industry: Specialty Retail
---
# AutoZone (AZO)

AutoZone (AZO) closed at $3,120.59 on Oct 16, 2026, undervalued by 35% vs its model value of $4,837.67 (from a five-year discounted cash flow).

## Key figures

| Figure | Value |
| --- | ---: |
| Last close | $3,120.59 (Oct 16, 2026) |
| Model value (from a five-year discounted cash flow) | $4,837.67 |
| Price vs model | undervalued by 35% vs model |
| Range of that model | $2,689.75 – $10,215.76 |
| Market value | $50.9B |
| P/E (fiscal 2025) | 21.5 |
| Net margin (fiscal 2025) | 12.6% |
| Free cash flow (fiscal 2025) | $1.8B |
| Dividend yield (trailing twelve months) | 0.00% |
| Beta | 0.34 |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 6.96% |
| Business classification | Mature & Stable (Low/slowing growth (~4% recent), Moderate margins (13% net margin), Moderately volatile earnings, High leverage (D/E 5.0x)) |

## Valuation models

Each model's value per share and the role the engine gave it for this business. The headline above is one model's value; every other model is listed with its own, and each has a page of its own under the valuation. Computed Oct 17, 2026.

| Model | Role | Value per share | Low | High |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 5y | primary | $4,837.67 | $2,689.75 | $10,215.76 |
| DCF · Perpetuity growth · 10y | cross check | $5,297.01 | $3,054.13 | $11,174.65 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 5y | cross check | $4,926.96 | $3,542.64 | $6,556.43 |
| DCF · EBITDA exit · 10y | cross check | $5,383.05 | $3,761.73 | $7,539.06 |
| P/E · peers | cross check | $4,187.72 | $3,369.89 | $5,884.89 |
| P/E · own history | cross check | $3,176.11 | $3,037.18 | $3,485.34 |
| PEG | sanity check | $1,827.18 | $1,827.18 | $1,827.18 |
| EV/EBITDA · peers | cross check | $4,782.98 | $3,723.73 | $7,049.50 |
| EV/Revenue · peers | cross check | $1,781.89 | $554.74 | $4,551.38 |
| Earnings power value | cross check | $1,551.23 | $1,188.65 | $2,112.92 |
| Dividend discount | cross check | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |

## Insider activity (SEC Form 4)

Past 90 days: 0 open-market buys ($0) and 1 open-market sale ($4.5M); 10b5-1 plan sales included.

| Date | Insider | Relationship | Transaction | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Murphy John Scott | Vice President, Controller | Grant / award | 1,068 | $0 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | BEDSOLE JENNA M. | Sr. Vice President | Grant / award | 3,500 | $0 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jaycox Kenneth E | SVP Commercial | Grant / award | 3,500 | $0 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | JACKSON JAMERE | CFO | Grant / award | 5,270 | $0 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sharpley Grace Orians | SVP, Finance | Grant / award | 3,500 | $0 |

## Recent SEC filings

| Filed | Form | What | Filing |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 8-K | 5.02 Departure/Election of Directors or Officers | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/866787/000117184326006565/f8k_100926.htm |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 8-K | 2.02 Results of Operations (Earnings); 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/866787/000117184326006159/f8k_092126.htm |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/866787/000110465926083528/tm2620403d1_8k.htm |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 8-K | 1.01 Entry into a Material Agreement; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/866787/000110465926082304/tm2619274d6_8k.htm |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 424B5 | Prospectus supplement | https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/866787/000110465926081024/tm2619274-2_424b5.htm |

## Superinvestors holding it (latest 13F)

| Manager | Quarter | Shares | Value |
| --- | --- | ---: | ---: |
| Tweedy Browne | 2026-06-30 | 5,530 | $17.7M |
| Bridgewater | 2026-06-30 | 897 | $2.9M |

2 tracked managers in all.

## About

AutoZone, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and distributor specializing in automotive replacement parts and accessories. The company's comprehensive inventory caters to a diverse range of vehicles, including cars, sport utility vehicles, vans, and light trucks. Their product offerings encompass both new and remanufactured critical hard parts, essential maintenance items, various accessories, and a selection of non-automotive goods. Key automotive components available include A/C compressors, batteries, bearings, belts, hoses, brake calipers, chassis parts, clutches, CV axles, engines, fuel pumps, fuses, ignition and lighting systems, mufflers, radiators, starters, alternators, thermostats, water pumps, and tire repair kits. For vehicle upkeep, AutoZone supplies antifreeze, windshield washer fluid, an extensive array of brake components (drums, rotors, shoes, pads), various automotive…

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Source: https://sweetvaluelab.com/stocks/azo (SweetValueLab, free, no account). Prices and statements from Financial Modeling Prep; filings from SEC EDGAR. Research and educational data, not investment advice; nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.
